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If the Presidential election was held today, Barack Obama would win - 288 electoral college votes to John McCain’s 249. Here is the latest state-by-state breakdown (sorted from most to lead electoral college votes). Note : the number in parenthesis is the percentage lead the candidate is ahead and EV means electoral college votes. Top battleground states (where margin-of-victory is 5% or less) are highlighted in red.
Obama beats in McCain in :
California (+12.6) - 55 EV
New York (+14.6) - 33 EV
Pennsylvania (+5.8) - 21 EV
Ohio (+3.7) - 20 EV
New Jersey (+11.0) - 15 EV
Virginia (+0.1) - 13 EV
Massachusetts (+13.7) - 12 EV
Washington (+13.4) - 11 EV
Minnesota (+9.0) - 10 EV
Wisconsin (+7.0) - 10 EV
Colorado (+5.0) - 9 EV
Connecticut (+13.6) - 8 EV
Oregon (+8.7) - 7 EV
Iowa (+8.0) - 7 EV
New Mexico (+3.2) - 5 EV
Maine (+12.3) - 4 EV
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TOTAL - Barack Obama 288 EV
McCain beats in Obama in :
Texas (+14.0) - 32 EV
Florida (+8.3) - 27 EV
Michigan (+1.6) - 17 EV
North Carolina (+4.2) - 15 EV
Georgia (+12.3) - 13 EV
Indiana (+2.0) - 11 EV
Missouri (+6.2) - 11 EV
Arizona (+13.3) - 10 EV
Louisiana (+13.4) - 9 EV
Alabama (+28.0) - 9 EV
Kentucky (+20.7) - 8 EV
South Carolina (+6.0) - 8 EV
Oklahoma (+26.0) - 7 EV
Mississippi (+11.4) - 6 EV
Kansas (+10.3) - 6 EV
Arkansas (+15.0) - 6 EV
Nevada (+1.0) - 5 EV
Utah (+23.0) - 5 EV
Nebraska (+16.0) - 5 EV
West Virginia (+13.0) - 5 EV
New Hampshire (+1.4) - 4 EV
Montana (+7.0) - 3 EV
Wyoming (+16.0) - 3 EV
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TOTAL - John McCain 249 EV
Note
Unpolled safe Democrat states (48 EV)
Illinois (21 EV), Maryland (10), Rhode Island (4), Hawaii (4), Vermont (3), Delaware (3), and DC (3).
Unpolled safe Republican states (24 EV)
Tennessee (11 EV), Idaho (4), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), and Alaska (3).