U.S. Election : Obama 364, McCain 174

Updated : 20 Oct.

In case anyone is interested in the U.S. Presidential election, if the election was held today, Barack Obama would win with 364 electoral college votes to John McCain’s 174. But the race is extremely close - there are many states were the margin of victory is 3% or less. These numbers are based on a rolling average of state polls. Below is the breakdown (sorted from most to least electoral college votes). Note : the number in parenthesis is the percentage lead the candidate is ahead and EV means electoral college votes. Top battleground states (where margin-of-victory is 5% or less) are highlighted in red.
Obama beats in McCain in :

California (+16.5) - 55 EV
New York (+25.0) - 31 EV
Florida (+3.2) - 27 EV
Illinois (+17.7) - 21 EV
Pennsylvania (+11.7) - 21 EV
Ohio (+3.3) - 20 EV
Michigan (+10.5) - 17 EV
New Jersey (+11.3) - 15 EV
North Carolina (+1.3) - 15 EV
Virginia (+8.0) - 13 EV
Massachusetts (+20.3) - 12 EV
Missouri (+3.0) - 11 EV
Washington (+9.3) - 11 EV
Minnesota (+9.6) - 10 EV
Wisconsin (+10.7) - 10 EV
Maryland (+11.4) - 10 EV
Colorado (+6.0) - 9 EV
Connecticut (+19.0) - 7 EV
Oregon (+14.7) - 7 EV
Iowa (+11.8) - 7 EV
New Mexico (+8.4) - 5 EV
Nevada (+4.2) - 5 EV
New Hampshire (+9.4) - 4 EV
Maine (+9.0) - 4 EV
Rhode Island (+22.7) - 4 EV
Hawaii (+35.5) - 4 EV
Vermont (+24.5) - 3 EV
Delaware (+17.6) - 3 EV
D.C. (-) - 3 EV
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TOTAL — Barack Obama 364 EV

McCain beats in Obama in :

Texas (+13.4) - 34 EV
Georgia (+7.0) - 15 EV
Indiana (+3.8) - 11 EV
Tennessee (+15.7) - 11 EV
Arizona (+12.4) - 10 EV
Louisiana (+15.4) - 9 EV
Alabama (+25.0) - 9 EV
Kentucky (+13.8) - 8 EV
South Carolina (+11.0) - 8 EV
Oklahoma (+31.0) - 7 EV
Mississippi (+10.3) - 6 EV
Kansas (+12.0) - 6 EV
Arkansas (+16.3) - 6 EV
Utah (+36.4) - 5 EV
Nebraska (+18.7) - 5 EV
West Virginia (+2.4) - 5 EV
Idaho (+22.8) - 4 EV
Montana (+5.6) - 3 EV
Wyoming (+26.3) - 3 EV
North Dakota (+4.0) - 3 EV
South Dakota (+10.4) - 3 EV
Alaska (+17.0) - 3 EV
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TOTAL — John McCain 174 EV